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Hedge Funds Are Back, Why Now?

Two questions sit behind almost every hedge fund allocation decision. The first is whether hedge funds deserve a place in the portfolio at all. The second is how to access them: directly, or through a diversified portfolio built and managed by a specialist fund of hedge funds. The case for hedge funds depends largely on the market environment. The case for a fund of hedge funds is about what it actually takes to turn that opportunity into a repeatable return stream.

Both questions have become more urgent. After a decade in which passive beta was cheap and abundant, several structural shifts have converged to make the market genuinely favourable for active management again, and hedge fund returns have followed. This article sets out why hedge funds are back on allocators’ radar, and why most investors choose to access the opportunity through a multi-manager, fund of hedge funds structure rather than by picking managers one at a time.

A market environment built for active management

For most of the last decade, extraordinary monetary policy suppressed volatility, compressed dispersion and rewarded anyone willing to simply hold the index. Beta was cheap, plentiful and hard to beat. That period has ended. Interest rates have normalised, volatility sits above its long-term average, and the spread between the best and worst performing securities has widened to levels rarely seen outside periods of market stress. Correlations between individual stocks have fallen well below their historical averages — equities are no longer moving in lockstep.

High stock-bond correlation, wide dispersion and elevated volatility are, together, the conditions active managers need. They were largely absent through the 2010s, and active management struggled accordingly. They are now present at the same time, and not only in equities but across credit, rates, currencies and commodities. Markets have also become considerably more sensitive to new information, which favours managers with genuine research depth, technology and the ability to reposition quickly.

Beneath calm indices, a fractured market

Headline equity indices keep grinding higher while the share of stocks actually participating in the rally keeps narrowing. Concentration is the defining feature of the current AI investment cycle (Barclays Strategic Consulting Team, 2026): a small group of mega-cap companies drives most of the index return, with their weighting in benchmark indices at levels rarely seen in prior cycles (Capital Group), while the rest of the market trades on its own, much less flattering, fundamentals. Supply-chain frictions, policy uncertainty and refinancing pressure are already showing up at the level of individual companies, even as cap-weighted benchmarks mask the risk. The same pattern repeats one level down, where performance gaps between sub-industries have widened sharply.

For a benchmark-constrained investor, this is an uncomfortable place to be: the index itself has become a concentrated bet, and being positioned in the wrong name is costly even while the headline number looks calm. For a long/short manager, the same conditions are the raw material of the business — a wide spread between winners and losers can be monetised on both sides of the book, without depending on which way the market moves. This fragmentation, and what it means for portfolio positioning, is explored further in our note on hedge fund strategies in times of market fragmentation.

A measurable turnaround in hedge fund performance

The shift is recent and it shows up in the numbers. Through the 2010s the industry effectively stagnated: annualised returns of roughly 4% a year with alpha of around 50 basis points gave allocators little reason to commit, and the 2016–2023 period saw persistent net outflows averaging close to USD 30 billion a year. The past two years have reversed that picture. Assets under management have passed approximately USD 5 trillion, the industry has posted its first consecutive years of double-digit returns since the post-crisis rebound of 2009–2010, and 2025 closed with an average return of 11.2%, with every strategy contributing positively. Returns have been competitive against cash, fixed income and broad equity benchmarks, while showing markedly lower correlation to equities and shallower drawdowns — and they have come primarily from alpha rather than market exposure (Goldman Sachs).

Metric
2025 / early 2026
Global hedge fund assets under management
Approximately USD 5 trillion, end of 2025
Average industry return, 2025
11.2%, every strategy contributing positively
Average net outflows, 2016–2023
Approximately USD 30 billion a year
Assets managed by firms overseeing >USD 1 billion
~88%, across 579 firms; assets at these firms grew >19% in 2025
All hedge funds – top vs. bottom quartile manager return
14.8% vs. 0.0%

Allocator sentiment reflects the same shift. The large majority of investors report that their hedge fund portfolios have met or exceeded expectations for a second consecutive year, and the share whose portfolios beat expectations is at its highest level in several years. Hedge funds are once again the most sought-after asset class going into the year, ahead of private equity, private credit and real estate by the widest margin on record in several industry surveys, and inflows are at their strongest in almost two decades.

Liquidity has regained its value

For much of the past decade, investors were happy to lock up capital for years in pursuit of higher private-market returns. That trade-off has become harder to justify: distributions have slowed, holding periods have lengthened, and a large amount of committed but uninvested capital still sits waiting to be called. Investors may therefore get less capital back from existing private-market commitments while still needing to fund new ones, which limits their ability to rebalance or act on new opportunities.

Against that backdrop, the liquidity that hedge funds generally offer — more frequent redemption windows than private-market strategies, while still providing access to actively managed, differentiated sources of return — has become an increasingly important portfolio advantage in its own right, separate from the return case. For a closer look at how a regulated, similarly liquidity-focused structure works for European investors, see our note on liquid alternatives in Europe.

Why access the opportunity through a fund of hedge funds

Identifying a favourable environment is only the first step. Converting it into a repeatable outcome depends on manager selection, portfolio construction, access and continuous risk oversight — and the dispersion between managers running the very same strategy has rarely been wider. Within Equity Hedge alone, the top quartile of managers returned 18.0% while the bottom quartile lost 0.4%, and similarly wide gaps show up across every other strategy (PivotalPath, J.P. Morgan Asset Management, as of April 30, 2026).

Picking a strategy is not the same as picking a manager. Within a single strategy, the gap between a top-quartile and a bottom-quartile manager can exceed 15 percentage points in a single year.

A fund of hedge funds exists to manage precisely that gap, alongside three further, related challenges. The Abacorum Fund, managed by AQUIS Capital, is one example of this structure in practice.

Manager selection, access and genuine diversification

Manager selection depends on sourcing, comparative due diligence and continuous monitoring by a team with a long institutional memory of how managers actually behave under stress — not only in backtests. Alongside selection, portfolio construction is itself a source of value: how managers are combined, sized and rebalanced can matter as much as which managers are chosen, since it determines correlation and concentration risk at the aggregate portfolio level.

Access compounds the problem for an individual allocator. The most consistent managers are frequently closed to new capital and reopen selectively to existing relationships rather than to the market at large (With Intelligence, 2026); for many of them, direct access simply is not available at any price to a new allocator. Pooled capital improves the terms on offer and can reach managers whose minimum allocations would otherwise be prohibitive for a single investor.

Diversification is the third piece, and it is easy to get only nominally. Crowding is one of the most underestimated risks in the industry today: the median hedge fund now holds an unusually high share of its long exposure in its top ten positions, exceeding levels seen at previous market peaks, and when positioning this crowded unwinds, it tends to do so quickly and disorderly. An investor holding five managers who turn out to share the same underlying factors has not built a diversified portfolio — they have taken one bet five times. A fund of hedge funds underwrites the combined, aggregate exposure across managers rather than each fund in isolation, and diversifies deliberately across strategy, region, style, time horizon and liquidity profile. A closer look at how multi-manager structures build genuine diversification is available in our article on fund of hedge funds diversification through multi-manager investment strategies.

Risk, fees and operational simplicity

Professional risk oversight goes well beyond initial due diligence. It means continuously monitoring organisational stability, personnel changes, asset growth, strategy drift, financing arrangements, counterparty exposure and service-provider relationships — the kind of monitoring that is easy to under-resource once capital is committed. The pressure on the industry makes this more relevant, not less: closures have outpaced launches for years, fixed costs in technology, data and compliance weigh disproportionately on smaller managers, and even well-capitalised launches are not immune — Jain Global started in 2024 with roughly USD 5 billion and, in April 2026, announced it would return about USD 6 billion to outside investors after start-up and talent costs outweighed trading gains.

The additional layer of fees that a fund of hedge funds charges is real, and it should be assessed honestly against net returns. The relevant question is whether manager selection, access, diversification and risk control add more value than that layer costs — and in a market where the gap between strong and weak managers is this wide, where the best capacity is genuinely restricted, and where a single manager failure can erase years of accumulated return, the answer is more often yes than in markets where returns are broadly and evenly distributed. There is also a practical dimension: a single allocation replaces dozens of subscription documents, side letters, capital calls and reporting formats with one consolidated risk framework, leaving the investment committee to focus on the size and role of the allocation rather than its administration. This administrative simplification is often a deciding factor for family offices weighing a fund of hedge funds against a direct multi-manager programme.

Conclusion

For the first time in more than a decade, the market environment is structurally aligned with what hedge funds are built to do. Normalised rates, elevated dispersion, diverging macro paths and a renewed premium on liquidity all point towards a supportive setting for hedge fund allocations. The same conditions that create the opportunity also widen the gap between managers, at a time when the industry itself is consolidating fastest around scale, access and specialisation. Capturing the opportunity requires careful selection, genuine access, real diversification and disciplined oversight sustained continuously — not decided once. That is precisely what a fund of hedge funds is built to provide.

About AQUIS Capital

AQUIS Capital AG is a Swiss-licensed, independent multi-asset management boutique specialising in hedge funds and Emerging Asia opportunities. The firm manages the Abacorum Fund, a global multi-strategy fund of hedge funds (see the fund's full profile), and provides hedge fund advisory mandates to institutional investors, seeking to offer access to compelling opportunities, diversified sources of return and effective risk management through a dedicated team with deep experience across fund of hedge funds investing. To discuss access to the fund or a bespoke advisory mandate, contact AQUIS Capital.

Frequently asked questions

Why invest in hedge funds now?

Normalised interest rates, high stock-bond correlations, wider return dispersion and elevated volatility have created a more favourable environment for active management across asset classes, and hedge funds delivered an average return of 11.2% in 2025 with every strategy contributing positively, alongside lower equity correlation and contained drawdowns.

Why invest through a fund of hedge funds rather than a single manager?

Because manager selection, access to capacity-constrained managers, genuine diversification and continuous risk oversight together determine the outcome, and a fund of hedge funds is built specifically to manage all four at once, rather than leaving an investor exposed to a single team's judgement.

What is manager dispersion in hedge funds?

It is the spread in returns between the best and worst performing managers within the same strategy. It is unusually wide today — for example, 18.0% for top-quartile Equity Hedge managers versus -0.4% for the bottom quartile in the year to April 2026 — which is why manager selection matters as much as strategy selection.

Does the additional fee layer of a fund of hedge funds make sense?

It should be assessed on net returns, weighed against the value of manager selection, access, diversification and risk control, as well as the cost of building an equivalent research, due diligence and operational capability in-house.

This article is for general information only and does not constitute financial, investment, tax or legal advice, nor an offer or solicitation to buy or sell any financial instrument. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results, and hedge fund investments carry risk, including the possible loss of capital. Any investment decision should be based solely on the relevant fund's Offering Documents. Consult a licensed professional before investing.

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